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Bulls vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalTD Garden · CHSN, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-31 · away
Final score
105-124
Projected: 110-121
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
35-19 · home
19% win CHIwin BOS 81%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin11.1
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (34-19) host the Chicago Bulls (24-30) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 105 – Celtics 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 17-9 at home and the Bulls are 9-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Celtics L1, Bulls L5).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 121 – 110 Bulls, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.1 / CHI -2.7 per game
+8.8
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+11.1

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
53%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Bulls win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIBOS
117.1
Points scored / game
115.3
120.3
Points allowed / game
108.2
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
27.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.4
Assists / game
27.8
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Bulls
Rob DillinghamG · #716pts / game
Rob DillinghamG · #77assists
Matas BuzelisF · #148rebounds
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1126pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #99assists
Nikola VucevicC · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIBOS
24-30Record34-19
117.1Points scored / game115.3
120.3Points allowed / game108.2
-2.7Adjusted margin / game+6.1
L5Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
9-18 roadHome / road record17-9 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.