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Celtics vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, January 24

FinalUnited Center · Watch/ESPN App, CHSN, NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
28-17 · away
Final score
111-114
Projected: 117-113
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
23-22 · home
62% win BOSwin CHI 38%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin3.9
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (22-22) host the Boston Celtics (28-16) on Saturday, January 24 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 111 – Bulls 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bulls are 14-9 at home and the Celtics are 15-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bulls and 6-4 for the Celtics (current streaks: Bulls W3, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 113 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.6 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -1.6 / BOS +6.2 per game
-7.8
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCeltics played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Bulls
-3.9

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSCHI
116.9
Points scored / game
117.9
109.6
Points allowed / game
119.8
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
38.6 %
3-point %
27.6 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
76.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.8
Assists / game
24.4
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
3.8
Blocks / game
4.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #97assists
Jaylen BrownG · #78rebounds
Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #322pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #310assists
Jalen SmithF · #259rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSCHI
28-16Record22-22
116.9Points scored / game117.9
109.6Points allowed / game119.8
+6.2Adjusted margin / game-1.6
W2Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games5-5
15-9 roadHome / road record14-9 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.