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Bulls vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, January 5

FinalTD Garden · CHSN, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
17-19 · away
Final score
101-115
Projected: 111-122
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
23-12 · home
18% win CHIwin BOS 82%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin11.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (22-12) host the Chicago Bulls (17-18) on Monday, January 5 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 101 – Celtics 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 10-5 at home and the Bulls are 7-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Bulls (current streaks: Celtics W3, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 122 – 111 Bulls, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.5 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.5 / CHI -2.6 per game
+9.1
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+11.4

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Bulls win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIBOS
118.1
Points scored / game
117.4
121.2
Points allowed / game
109.8
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
27.6 %
3-point %
38.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.4
Assists / game
27.8
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
3.8
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1426pts / game
Nikola VucevicC · #97assists
Nikola VucevicC · #915rebounds
Celtics
Anfernee SimonsG · #527pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #97assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIBOS
17-18Record22-12
118.1Points scored / game117.4
121.2Points allowed / game109.8
-2.6Adjusted margin / game+6.5
L1Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games7-3
7-9 roadHome / road record10-5 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.