Mavericks vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 10
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (31-22) host the Dallas Mavericks (19-33) on Tuesday, February 10 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 111 – Suns 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 17-9 at home and the Mavericks are 5-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Suns L2, Mavericks L7).
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 117 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALPHX
Top performers
Mavericks
Naji MarshallF · #331pts / game
Max ChristieG · #03assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #38rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #323pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #128assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110reboundsRecent form
DAL
PHXTeam comparison
| DAL | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-33 | Record | 31-22 |
| 114.2 | Points scored / game | 113.6 |
| 116.9 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| L7 | Current streak | L2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 5-17 road | Home / road record | 17-9 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
PHX