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Mavericks vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 10

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
19-34 · away
Final score
111-120
Projected: 111-117
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
32-22 · home
33% win DALwin PHX 67%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin5.6
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (31-22) host the Dallas Mavericks (19-33) on Tuesday, February 10 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 111 – Suns 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 17-9 at home and the Mavericks are 5-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Suns L2, Mavericks L7).

The analysis Model

The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 117 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.0 / DAL -2.3 per game
+3.3
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+5.6

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Mavericks win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

DALPHX
114.2
Points scored / game
113.6
116.9
Points allowed / game
112.4
49.0 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
34.6 %
3-point %
31.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
76.7 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
39.7
27.6
Assists / game
25.3
9.0
Steals / game
8.7
7.4
Blocks / game
5.3
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Mavericks
Naji MarshallF · #331pts / game
Max ChristieG · #03assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #38rebounds
Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #323pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #128assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALPHX
19-33Record31-22
114.2Points scored / game113.6
116.9Points allowed / game112.4
-2.3Adjusted margin / game+1.0
L7Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games5-5
5-17 roadHome / road record17-9 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.