Suns vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (3-8) host the Phoenix Suns (6-5) on Wednesday, November 12 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 123 – Mavericks 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 2-5 at home and the Suns are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Suns W3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 114 – 115 Suns, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXDAL
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1526pts / gameDevin BookerG · #159assists
Nick RichardsC · #87reboundsMavericks
Klay ThompsonG · #1119pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #129assists
Daniel GaffordF · #219reboundsRecent form
PHXDAL
PHX
Team comparison
| PHX | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 3-8 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 110.8 |
| 115.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 2-5 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.