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Pistons vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, February 9

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
61% win DETwin CHA 39%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.4
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (25-28) host the Detroit Pistons (38-13) on Monday, February 9 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 110 – Hornets 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 11-13 at home and the Pistons are 16-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hornets and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Hornets W9, Pistons W1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hornets 112 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.0 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -0.0 / DET +5.7 per game
-5.7
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-3.4

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCHA
117.1
Points scored / game
114.0
110.4
Points allowed / game
114.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
37.9 %
3-point %
30.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
27.0
Assists / game
20.6
8.0
Steals / game
6.8
7.2
Blocks / game
5.2
15.6
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #233pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #27assists
Cade CunninghamG · #29rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2424pts / game
Grant WilliamsF · #25assists
Moussa DiabateF · #146rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCHA
38-13Record25-28
117.1Points scored / game114.0
110.4Points allowed / game114.0
+5.7Adjusted margin / game-0.0
W1Current streakW9
7-3Last 10 games9-1
16-7 roadHome / road record11-13 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.