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Hornets vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN DET, NBA TV
20% win CHAwin DET 80%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin10.6
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (21-6) host the Charlotte Hornets (9-18) on Saturday, December 20 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 86 – Pistons 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 12-2 at home and the Hornets are 3-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 5-5 for the Hornets (current streaks: Pistons L1, Hornets W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 121 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.1 / CHA -4.3 per game
+8.3
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+10.6

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
52%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Hornets win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

CHADET
112.3
Points scored / game
118.0
117.3
Points allowed / game
113.3
41.7 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
30.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
85.2 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
46.8
20.6
Assists / game
27.0
6.8
Steals / game
8.0
5.2
Blocks / game
7.2
19.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #719pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #16assists
Kon KnueppelG · #77rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #222pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Jalen DurenC · #011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHADET
9-18Record21-6
112.3Points scored / game118.0
117.3Points allowed / game113.3
-4.3Adjusted margin / game+4.1
W2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games6-4
3-10 roadHome / road record12-2 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.