Rockets vs Thunder prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) host the Houston Rockets (31-19) on Saturday, February 7 at 3:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 112 – Thunder 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 75% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 22-5 at home and the Rockets are 14-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Thunder and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Thunder L1, Rockets L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 118 – 109 Rockets, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+10.6 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (120.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUOKC
Top performers
Rockets
Tari EasonF · #1726pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #2811assistsAlperen SengunC · #2812reboundsThunder
Cason WallaceG · #2223pts / game
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5511assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #714reboundsRecent form
HOUOKC
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-19 | Record | 40-12 |
| 115.0 | Points scored / game | 120.2 |
| 110.0 | Points allowed / game | 107.8 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.6 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 14-13 road | Home / road record | 22-5 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.