Thunder vs Rockets prediction NBA · Thursday, January 15
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (23-14) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-7) on Thursday, January 15 at 7:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 111 – Rockets 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 12-2 at home and the Thunder are 14-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 8-2 for the Thunder (current streaks: Rockets W1, Thunder W4).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 113 – 116 Thunder, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs +11.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCHOU
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #220pts / game
Jalen WilliamsG · #810assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #719pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #285assistsAlperen SengunC · #2813reboundsRecent form
OKCHOU
HOU
Team comparison
| OKC | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-7 | Record | 23-14 |
| 121.2 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 108.0 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| +11.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| W4 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 14-4 road | Home / road record | 12-2 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.