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Nets vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, February 5

FinalKia Center · NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN FL
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
13-37 · away
Final score
98-118
Projected: 108-116
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
26-24 · home
26% win BKNwin ORL 74%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin8.2
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (25-24) host the Brooklyn Nets (13-36) on Thursday, February 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 98 – Magic 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 15-9 at home and the Nets are 7-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Magic and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Magic L2, Nets L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Magic dominate this matchup. The model projects Magic 116 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.6 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's offense (113.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.6 / BKN -6.5 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+8.2

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Nets win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNORL
106.7
Points scored / game
113.1
114.4
Points allowed / game
113.8
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
31.4 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.0
Assists / game
26.0
10.0
Steals / game
7.8
4.0
Blocks / game
4.5
17.5
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Nets
Egor DeminG · #826pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #107assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #96rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #323pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #411assists
Jalen SuggsG · #411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNORL
13-36Record25-24
106.7Points scored / game113.1
114.4Points allowed / game113.8
-6.5Adjusted margin / game-0.6
L2Current streakL2
1-9Last 10 games4-6
7-18 roadHome / road record15-9 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.