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Nets vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, November 14

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)

Brooklyn Nets

1-11 · away

Final score

98-105

Projected: 106-118

Orlando Magic

7-6 · home

17% win BKNwin ORL 83%

FavoriteORL

Projected margin12.1

Projected total224

ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (6-6) host the Brooklyn Nets (1-10) on Friday, November 14 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 98 – Magic 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 83% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 3-3 at home and the Nets are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Magic W2, Nets L3).

The analysis Model

The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Magic 118 – 106 Nets, a margin of about 12.1 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

The overall strength gap (+0.6 vs -9.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Magic's offense (111.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic

Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.6 / BKN -9.3 per game

+9.8

Home-court advantageMagic at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Magic

+12.1

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+

57%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

20%

Nets win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

BKNORL

107.4

Points scored / game

111.0

118.3

Points allowed / game

110.3

42.9 %

Field goal %

44.2 %

36.7 %

3-point %

31.4 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

39.0

76.6 %

Free throw %

75.0 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

41.3

24.0

Assists / game

26.0

10.0

Steals / game

7.8

4.0

Blocks / game

4.5

17.5

Turnovers / game

17.8

Top performers

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1724pts / game

Michael Porter Jr.F · #177assists

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1711rebounds

Magic

Franz WagnerF · #2225pts / game

Jalen SuggsG · #46assists

Tristan da SilvaF · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

No games played yet.

ORL

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 3-0 this season.

Team comparison

BKN		ORL
1-10	Record	6-6
107.4	Points scored / game	111.0
118.3	Points allowed / game	110.3
-9.3	Adjusted margin / game	+0.6
L3	Current streak	W2
1-9	Last 10 games	5-5
1-4 road	Home / road record	3-3 home
26-56 (-7.1)	Last season	41-41 (-0.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.