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Magic vs Nets prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalBarclays Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES)
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
21-17 · away
Final score
104-103
Projected: 112-111
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
11-23 · home
55% win ORLwin BKN 45%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.6
Projected total223
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (11-22) host the Orlando Magic (20-17) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 104 – Nets 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 5-13 at home and the Magic are 8-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Nets W1, Magic L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 111 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's offense (114.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -4.6 / ORL +0.8 per game
-5.5
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backMagic played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-1.6

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLBKN
114.1
Points scored / game
108.3
113.1
Points allowed / game
113.7
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
75.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
43.5
26.0
Assists / game
24.0
7.8
Steals / game
10.0
4.5
Blocks / game
4.0
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #530pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #56assists
Paolo BancheroF · #514rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1734pts / game
Egor DeminG · #85assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #207rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLBKN
20-17Record11-22
114.1Points scored / game108.3
113.1Points allowed / game113.7
+0.8Adjusted margin / game-4.6
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
8-11 roadHome / road record5-13 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.