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Hawks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
24-27 · away
Final score
124-129
Projected: 117-115
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
13-36 · home
56% win ATLwin IND 44%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin1.9
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (12-36) host the Atlanta Hawks (24-26) on Saturday, January 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 124 – Pacers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 9-16 at home and the Hawks are 15-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pacers W1, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pacers 115 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.1 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.1 / ATL -0.9 per game
-4.2
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-1.9

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLIND
117.3
Points scored / game
111.7
118.4
Points allowed / game
117.7
46.9 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
34.8 %
3-point %
31.2 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
72.8 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
44.0
32.2
Assists / game
29.4
10.2
Steals / game
6.4
3.6
Blocks / game
4.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #133pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #110assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #226pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #210assists
Jarace WalkerF · #510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLIND
24-26Record12-36
117.3Points scored / game111.7
118.4Points allowed / game117.7
-0.9Adjusted margin / game-5.1
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
15-12 roadHome / road record9-16 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.