Hawks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Saturday, January 31
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (12-36) host the Atlanta Hawks (24-26) on Saturday, January 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 124 – Pacers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 9-16 at home and the Hawks are 15-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pacers W1, Hawks L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pacers 115 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.1 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLIND
Top performers
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #133pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #110assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #226pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #210assists
Jarace WalkerF · #510reboundsRecent form
ATL
INDHead-to-head
ATL lead 2-1 this season.
Team comparison
| ATL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-26 | Record | 12-36 |
| 117.3 | Points scored / game | 111.7 |
| 118.4 | Points allowed / game | 117.7 |
| -0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 15-12 road | Home / road record | 9-16 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
ATL