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Hawks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, October 31

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass

Atlanta Hawks

3-3 · away

Final score

128-108

Projected: 115-120

Indiana Pacers

0-5 · home

37% win ATLwin IND 63%

FavoriteIND

Projected margin4.1

Projected total235

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (0-4) host the Atlanta Hawks (2-3) on Friday, October 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 128 – Pacers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 0-1 at home and the Hawks are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-4 for the Pacers and 2-3 for the Hawks (current streaks: Pacers L4, Hawks W1).

The analysis Model

The Pacers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 120 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers

Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -0.5 / ATL -2.3 per game

+1.8

Home-court advantagePacers at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Pacers

+4.1

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+

32%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

30%

Hawks win by 10+

13%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLIND

116.9

Points scored / game

116.3

119.6

Points allowed / game

117.0

46.9 %

Field goal %

47.1 %

34.8 %

3-point %

31.2 %

41.4

3-pointers attempted / game

37.8

72.8 %

Free throw %

72.7 %

41.4

Rebounds / game

44.0

32.2

Assists / game

29.4

10.2

Steals / game

6.4

3.6

Blocks / game

4.8

14.0

Turnovers / game

14.8

Top performers

Hawks

Jalen JohnsonF · #122pts / game

Jalen JohnsonF · #18assists

Jalen JohnsonF · #113rebounds

Pacers

Pascal SiakamF · #4318pts / game

Pascal SiakamF · #435assists

Isaiah JacksonF · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

ATL

No games played yet.

IND

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ATL lead 2-1 this season.

Team comparison

ATL		IND
2-3	Record	0-4
116.9	Points scored / game	116.3
119.6	Points allowed / game	117.0
-2.3	Adjusted margin / game	-0.5
W1	Current streak	L4
2-3	Last 10 games	0-4
2-1 road	Home / road record	0-1 home
40-42 (-1.1)	Last season	50-32 (+2.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.