Pacers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Monday, January 26
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (22-25) host the Indiana Pacers (11-35) on Monday, January 26 at 1:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 116 – Hawks 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 8-13 at home and the Pacers are 3-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 5-5 for the Pacers (current streaks: Hawks W2, Pacers W1).
The analysis Model
The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 120 – 113 Pacers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.1 vs -5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDATL
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4326pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #213assistsPascal SiakamF · #439reboundsHawks
CJ McCollumG · #323pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #59assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1710reboundsRecent form
INDATLHead-to-head
ATL lead 2-1 this season.
ATL
Team comparison
| IND | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-35 | Record | 22-25 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 117.6 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 118.8 |
| -5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3-19 road | Home / road record | 8-13 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.