Pelicans vs Thunder prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 27
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (37-10) host the New Orleans Pelicans (12-36) on Tuesday, January 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 95 – Thunder 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 94% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 20-5 at home and the Pelicans are 5-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Thunder and 4-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Thunder L2, Pelicans W2).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 126 – 106 Pelicans, a margin of about 19.4 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+11.0 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOOKCTop performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #415assistsSaddiq BeyG · #4113reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #229pts / game
Jaylin WilliamsF · #65assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #714reboundsRecent form
NOOKC
NO
Team comparison
| NO | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-36 | Record | 37-10 |
| 113.8 | Points scored / game | 120.8 |
| 121.1 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| -6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +11.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-17 road | Home / road record | 20-5 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.