Thunder vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, November 17
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (2-11) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (13-1) on Monday, November 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 126 – Pelicans 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 95% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-5 at home and the Thunder are 7-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Pelicans L5, Thunder W5).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Pelicans 103 – 124 Thunder, a margin of about 21.1 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-9.7 vs +12.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCNO
Top performers
Thunder
Chet HolmgrenC · #726pts / game
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assistsChet HolmgrenC · #79reboundsPelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #024pts / game
Jordan HawkinsG · #156assists
Derik QueenC · #228reboundsRecent form
OKCNO
NO
Team comparison
| OKC | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-1 | Record | 2-11 |
| 121.1 | Points scored / game | 109.0 |
| 106.9 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| +12.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.7 |
| W5 | Current streak | L5 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 7-1 road | Home / road record | 1-5 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.