Pistons vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (10-35) host the Detroit Pistons (31-10) on Wednesday, January 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 112 – Pelicans 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 7-18 at home and the Pistons are 13-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Pelicans L2, Pistons W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pelicans 111 – 121 Pistons, a margin of about 9.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETNO
Top performers
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #020pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #244assists
Jalen DurenC · #015rebounds
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4120pts / game
Derik QueenC · #228assists
Micah PeavyG7reboundsRecent form
DET
NOTeam comparison
| DET | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-10 | Record | 10-35 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 110.9 | Points allowed / game | 121.6 |
| +5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 13-6 road | Home / road record | 7-18 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
DET