Pelicans vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, March 26
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (52-20) host the New Orleans Pelicans (25-48) on Thursday, March 26 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 108 – Pistons 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 28-9 at home and the Pelicans are 9-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Pistons L1, Pelicans L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 120 – 109 Pelicans, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NODET
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #121pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #06assists
Derik QueenC · #2211reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #030pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #249assistsJalen DurenC · #010reboundsRecent form
NODET
DET
Team comparison
| NO | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-48 | Record | 52-20 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 117.2 |
| 119.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.4 |
| -3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 9-26 road | Home / road record | 28-9 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.