Pacers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (26-16) host the Indiana Pacers (10-34) on Wednesday, January 21 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 104 – Celtics 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 12-7 at home and the Pacers are 2-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Celtics L1, Pacers L2).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 121 – 107 Pacers, a margin of about 13.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.2 vs -5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDBOS
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4332pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #29assistsPascal SiakamF · #4310reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #118assistsJaylen BrownG · #710reboundsRecent form
INDBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-34 | Record | 26-16 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 109.4 |
| -5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 2-18 road | Home / road record | 12-7 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.