Pacers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, December 22
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (17-11) host the Indiana Pacers (6-22) on Monday, December 22 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 95 – Celtics 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 9-5 at home and the Pacers are 1-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 4-6 for the Pacers (current streaks: Celtics W2, Pacers L4).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 120 – 108 Pacers, a margin of about 12.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs -4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDBOS
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4325pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #249reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #731pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #115assists
Hugo GonzalezG · #2811reboundsRecent form
INDBOSHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| IND | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-22 | Record | 17-11 |
| 112.4 | Points scored / game | 116.4 |
| 117.5 | Points allowed / game | 109.5 |
| -4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.9 |
| L4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 1-12 road | Home / road record | 9-5 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.