Celtics vs Pacers prediction NBA · Monday, January 12
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (8-31) host the Boston Celtics (24-14) on Monday, January 12 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 96 – Pacers 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 75% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 6-15 at home and the Celtics are 12-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pacers and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Pacers W2, Celtics L1).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Pacers 110 – 119 Celtics, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSIND
Top performers
Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1123pts / gamePayton PritchardG · #118assists
Jordan WalshG · #279reboundsPacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4321pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #29assistsPascal SiakamF · #438reboundsRecent form
BOSINDHead-to-head
BOS lead 3-1 this season.
IND
Team comparison
| BOS | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-14 | Record | 8-31 |
| 116.9 | Points scored / game | 112.6 |
| 109.7 | Points allowed / game | 118.1 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 12-7 road | Home / road record | 6-15 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.