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Timberwolves vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 20

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN North Extra, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
81% win MINwin UTAH 19%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin11.1
Projected total237
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (14-29) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-16) on Tuesday, January 20 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 122 – Jazz 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 81% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 9-12 at home and the Timberwolves are 12-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Jazz L4, Timberwolves L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Timberwolves dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 113 – 124 Timberwolves, a margin of about 11.1 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.3 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.3 / MIN +4.5 per game
-11.8
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Jazz
-11.1

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
5%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Timberwolves win by 10+
53%

Stat comparison Current season

MINUTAH
118.8
Points scored / game
117.6
113.5
Points allowed / game
126.2
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
38.4 %
3-point %
33.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
62.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
9.2
Steals / game
5.0
4.4
Blocks / game
6.4
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #538pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #08assists
Rudy GobertC · #2710rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #343pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #810assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3018rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINUTAH
27-16Record14-29
118.8Points scored / game117.6
113.5Points allowed / game126.2
+4.5Adjusted margin / game-7.3
L2Current streakL4
6-4Last 10 games2-8
12-10 roadHome / road record9-12 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.