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Jazz vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Friday, November 7

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North Extra, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
20% win UTAHwin MIN 80%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin10.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (4-4) host the Utah Jazz (3-5) on Friday, November 7 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 97 – Timberwolves 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 1-2 at home and the Jazz are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for the Timberwolves and 3-5 for the Jazz (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 120 – 110 Jazz, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.0 vs -6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +2.0 / UTAH -6.1 per game
+8.1
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+10.4

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
51%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Jazz win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHMIN
112.7
Points scored / game
115.2
119.9
Points allowed / game
112.9
45.4 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
33.9 %
3-point %
38.4 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
76.6 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
51.6
26.8
Assists / game
27.0
5.0
Steals / game
9.2
6.4
Blocks / game
4.4
17.0
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #318pts / game
Kyle AndersonF · #124assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #210rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #537pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3012assists
Julius RandleF · #3010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHMIN
3-5Record4-4
112.7Points scored / game115.2
119.9Points allowed / game112.9
-6.1Adjusted margin / game+2.0
L1Current streakL1
3-5Last 10 games4-4
1-4 roadHome / road record1-2 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.