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Timberwolves vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, November 10

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN North, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
7-4 · away
Final score
120-113
Projected: 119-111
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
3-7 · home
74% win MINwin UTAH 26%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin7.9
Projected total230
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (3-6) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (6-4) on Monday, November 10 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 120 – Jazz 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 2-1 at home and the Timberwolves are 4-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Jazz L2, Timberwolves W2).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Jazz 111 – 119 Timberwolves, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs +4.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.5 / MIN +4.4 per game
-11.8
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTimberwolves played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Jazz
-7.9

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
8%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Timberwolves win by 10+
43%

Stat comparison Current season

MINUTAH
117.5
Points scored / game
112.0
112.3
Points allowed / game
120.8
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
38.4 %
3-point %
33.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
62.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
9.2
Steals / game
5.0
4.4
Blocks / game
6.4
16.2
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #535pts / game
Julius RandleF · #307assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #87assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINUTAH
6-4Record3-6
117.5Points scored / game112.0
112.3Points allowed / game120.8
+4.4Adjusted margin / game-7.5
W2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games3-6
4-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.