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Raptors vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, January 18

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, TSN, NBA League Pass
50% win TORwin LAL 50%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin0.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (24-16) host the Toronto Raptors (25-18) on Sunday, January 18 at 9:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 93 – Lakers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 11-8 at home and the Raptors are 12-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Lakers and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Lakers L2, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 115 – 114 Raptors, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL -0.3 / TOR +0.3 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
+0.1

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

TORLAL
113.3
Points scored / game
115.8
112.9
Points allowed / game
116.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
30.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
79.0 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.3
Assists / game
24.0
14.3
Steals / game
10.8
5.5
Blocks / game
5.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #422pts / game
Brandon IngramF · #77assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49rebounds
Lakers
Deandre AytonC · #825pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #777assists
Deandre AytonC · #813rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

TORLAL
25-18Record24-16
113.3Points scored / game115.8
112.9Points allowed / game116.1
+0.3Adjusted margin / game-0.3
L1Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games4-6
12-8 roadHome / road record11-8 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.