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Lakers vs Raptors prediction NBA · Thursday, December 4

FinalScotiabank Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA League Pass, Sportsnet
45% win LALwin TOR 55%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (15-7) host the Los Angeles Lakers (15-5) on Thursday, December 4 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 123 – Raptors 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 8-2 at home and the Lakers are 8-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Raptors and 8-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Raptors W1, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Raptors 116 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +1.2 / LAL +2.1 per game
-0.9
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Raptors
+1.4

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

LALTOR
116.9
Points scored / game
115.3
114.5
Points allowed / game
113.9
52.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
39.2 %
3-point %
30.4 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
79.1 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.0
Assists / game
27.3
10.8
Steals / game
14.3
5.8
Blocks / game
5.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1544pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2311assists
Deandre AytonC · #88rebounds
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #423pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #49assists
Scottie BarnesF · #411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LALTOR
15-5Record15-7
116.9Points scored / game115.3
114.5Points allowed / game113.9
+2.1Adjusted margin / game+1.2
L1Current streakW1
8-2Last 10 games8-2
8-2 roadHome / road record8-2 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.