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Lakers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Saturday, January 17

FinalModa Center · NBA TV, KUNP 16, BlazerVision, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +
50% win LALwin POR 50%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin0.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (20-22) host the Los Angeles Lakers (24-15) on Saturday, January 17 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 116 – Trail Blazers 132. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 11-10 at home and the Lakers are 13-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Trail Blazers W1, Lakers L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 117 – 116 Lakers, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.3 / LAL -0.0 per game
-2.2
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+0.1

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

LALPOR
115.8
Points scored / game
114.8
115.8
Points allowed / game
117.4
52.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
39.2 %
3-point %
38.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
79.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
24.0
Assists / game
30.7
10.8
Steals / game
8.3
5.8
Blocks / game
2.7
16.6
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Lakers
Marcus SmartG · #3625pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #238assists
LeBron JamesF · #239rebounds
Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1725pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #87assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALPOR
24-15Record20-22
115.8Points scored / game114.8
115.8Points allowed / game117.4
-0.0Adjusted margin / game-2.3
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
13-7 roadHome / road record11-10 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.