Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Lakers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA TV
43% win LALwin POR 57%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin2.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (4-2) host the Los Angeles Lakers (5-2) on Monday, November 3 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 123 – Trail Blazers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Trail Blazers are 2-1 at home and the Lakers are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-2 for the Trail Blazers and 5-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Trail Blazers W3, Lakers W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -0.4 / LAL +1.4 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backLakers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+2.1

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

LALPOR
115.6
Points scored / game
114.3
113.9
Points allowed / game
114.8
52.9 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
39.2 %
3-point %
38.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
79.1 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
24.0
Assists / game
30.7
10.8
Steals / game
8.3
5.8
Blocks / game
2.7
16.6
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Lakers
Deandre AytonC · #829pts / game
Nick Smith Jr.G · #206assists
Deandre AytonC · #810rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #833pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #56assists
Shaedon SharpeG · #177rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALPOR
5-2Record4-2
115.6Points scored / game114.3
113.9Points allowed / game114.8
+1.4Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W3Current streakW3
5-2Last 10 games4-2
3-0 roadHome / road record2-1 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.