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Trail Blazers vs Lakers prediction NBA · Monday, October 27

Finalcrypto.com Arena · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +
33% win PORwin LAL 67%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin5.5
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (2-1) host the Portland Trail Blazers (1-2) on Monday, October 27 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 122 – Lakers 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 1-1 at home and the Trail Blazers are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Lakers and 1-2 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Lakers W2, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Lakers 116 – 110 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Lakers and the Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.7 / POR -1.5 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+5.5

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PORLAL
112.7
Points scored / game
115.0
114.5
Points allowed / game
113.0
51.1 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
38.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
70.8 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
38.0
30.7
Assists / game
24.0
8.3
Steals / game
10.8
2.7
Blocks / game
5.8
13.3
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #56assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2314rebounds
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1541pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #155assists
Deandre AytonC · #88rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORLAL
1-2Record2-1
112.7Points scored / game115.0
114.5Points allowed / game113.0
-1.5Adjusted margin / game+1.7
L1Current streakW2
1-2Last 10 games2-1
0-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.