Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 13
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (9-32) host the Denver Nuggets (26-13) on Tuesday, January 13 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 122 – Pelicans 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 6-17 at home and the Nuggets are 15-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Pelicans L1, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
The Nuggets start with a clear edge. The model projects Pelicans 114 – 123 Nuggets, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.8 vs +4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENNO
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2735pts / gameJamal MurrayG · #279assists
Peyton WatsonG · #87reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2531pts / game
Derik QueenC · #225assistsDerik QueenC · #2213reboundsRecent form
DENNO
NO
Team comparison
| DEN | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-13 | Record | 9-32 |
| 122.3 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 121.7 |
| +4.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 1-9 |
| 15-7 road | Home / road record | 6-17 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.