Pelicans vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (2-1) host the New Orleans Pelicans (0-3) on Wednesday, October 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 88 – Nuggets 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 89% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 1-0 at home and the Pelicans are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Nuggets and 0-3 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Nuggets W2, Pelicans L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Nuggets 125 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 15.4 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -8.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NODEN
Top performers
Pelicans
Jeremiah FearsG · #021pts / gameJeremiah FearsG · #06assists
Derik QueenC · #228reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1521pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1510assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsRecent form
NODEN
NO
Team comparison
| NO | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 109.7 | Points scored / game | 122.7 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| -8.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 0-3 | Last 10 games | 2-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.