Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 19
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (2-12) host the Denver Nuggets (10-3) on Wednesday, November 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 125 – Pelicans 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-6 at home and the Nuggets are 4-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 8-2 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Pelicans L6, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Nuggets dominate this matchup. The model projects Pelicans 110 – 124 Nuggets, a margin of about 14.5 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-9.9 vs +6.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nuggets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENNO
Top performers
Nuggets
Peyton WatsonG · #832pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1512assistsPeyton WatsonG · #812reboundsPelicans
Derik QueenC · #2230pts / game
Zion WilliamsonF · #15assistsDerik QueenC · #229reboundsRecent form
DENNO
NO
Team comparison
| DEN | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-3 | Record | 2-12 |
| 122.8 | Points scored / game | 109.0 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 120.7 |
| +6.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L6 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 4-2 road | Home / road record | 1-6 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.