Lakers vs Kings prediction NBA · Monday, January 12
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (9-30) host the Los Angeles Lakers (23-13) on Monday, January 12 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 112 – Kings 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 6-13 at home and the Lakers are 13-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Lakers (current streaks: Kings W1, Lakers L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 111 – 118 Lakers, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.5 vs +0.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' offense (115.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALSAC
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7742pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #778assists
Deandre AytonC · #813reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1032pts / game
Malik MonkG · #08assists
Precious AchiuwaF · #97reboundsRecent form
LALSACHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-13 | Record | 9-30 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 111.2 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 120.0 |
| +0.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.5 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 13-6 road | Home / road record | 6-13 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.