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Lakers vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA League Pass
47% win LALwin SAC 53%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin1.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (1-1) host the Los Angeles Lakers (1-1) on Sunday, October 26 at 9:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 127 – Kings 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Kings are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Kings and 1-1 for the Lakers (current streaks: Kings W1, Lakers W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 115 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC +0.2 / LAL +1.4 per game
-1.2
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+1.1

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

LALSAC
114.1
Points scored / game
115.0
112.5
Points allowed / game
114.8
52.9 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
39.2 %
3-point %
30.0 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
79.1 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
24.0
Assists / game
22.8
10.8
Steals / game
6.8
5.8
Blocks / game
2.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1551pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #159assists
Deandre AytonC · #815rebounds
Kings
Zach LaVineG · #832pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #1712assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1114rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALSAC
1-1Record1-1
114.1Points scored / game115.0
112.5Points allowed / game114.8
+1.4Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W1Current streakW1
1-1Last 10 games1-1
0-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.