Kings vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 28
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (19-10) host the Sacramento Kings (8-23) on Sunday, December 28 at 9:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 101 – Lakers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 7-5 at home and the Kings are 3-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Lakers and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Lakers L3, Kings W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Lakers dominate this matchup. The model projects Lakers 120 – 111 Kings, a margin of about 9.9 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-0.0 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACLAL
Top performers
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1022pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #177assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4210reboundsLakers
Luka DoncicG · #7734pts / gameLuka DoncicG · #777assists
Deandre AytonC · #811reboundsRecent form
SACLALHead-to-head
LAL lead 3-1 this season.
LAL
Team comparison
| SAC | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-23 | Record | 19-10 |
| 113.1 | Points scored / game | 115.9 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 3-13 road | Home / road record | 7-5 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.