Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, January 9
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (16-21) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (31-7) on Friday, January 9 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 117 – Grizzlies 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 8-10 at home and the Thunder are 13-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 6-4 for the Thunder (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Thunder W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Grizzlies 111 – 120 Thunder, a margin of about 8.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs +11.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCMEM
Top performers
Thunder
Jalen WilliamsG · #826pts / gameJalen WilliamsG · #810assists
Kenrich WilliamsG · #348reboundsGrizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2023pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2411assists
Jock LandaleC · #3110reboundsRecent form
OKCMEM
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-7 | Record | 16-21 |
| 121.2 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 108.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| +11.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 13-4 road | Home / road record | 8-10 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.