Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (4-6) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (9-1) on Sunday, November 9 at 6:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 114 – Grizzlies 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 3-4 at home and the Thunder are 5-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Grizzlies and 9-1 for the Thunder (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Thunder W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Grizzlies 113 – 121 Thunder, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.7 vs +11.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCMEM
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #235pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #26assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #5513reboundsGrizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2017pts / game
Ja MorantG · #18assists
Cedric CowardF · #2310reboundsRecent form
OKCMEM
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | Record | 4-6 |
| 121.7 | Points scored / game | 118.7 |
| 108.6 | Points allowed / game | 117.9 |
| +11.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 5-1 road | Home / road record | 3-4 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.