Grizzlies vs Thunder prediction NBA · Monday, December 22
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (25-3) host the Memphis Grizzlies (13-15) on Monday, December 22 at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 103 – Thunder 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 13-1 at home and the Grizzlies are 7-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Thunder and 7-3 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Thunder L1, Grizzlies L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Thunder dominate this matchup. The model projects Thunder 123 – 108 Grizzlies, a margin of about 14.5 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+12.9 vs +0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (106.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMOKC
Top performers
Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2316pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #248assists
Jock LandaleC · #3110reboundsThunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #231pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #28assistsShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #210reboundsRecent form
MEMOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| MEM | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-15 | Record | 25-3 |
| 116.8 | Points scored / game | 121.9 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 106.7 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +12.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 7-7 road | Home / road record | 13-1 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.