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Pistons vs Clippers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 28

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN DET Ext, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
24-8 · away
Final score
99-112
Projected: 116-112
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
10-21 · home
61% win DETwin LAC 39%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin3.4
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (9-21) host the Detroit Pistons (24-7) on Sunday, December 28 at 9:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 99 – Clippers 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 5-8 at home and the Pistons are 11-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Clippers and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Clippers W3, Pistons L1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Clippers 112 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.2 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -1.2 / DET +4.5 per game
-5.7
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-3.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

DETLAC
118.4
Points scored / game
111.9
113.1
Points allowed / game
113.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
39.0 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
74.4 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.0
8.0
Steals / game
12.5
7.2
Blocks / game
4.5
15.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #227pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #29assists
Jalen DurenC · #014rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #255pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DETLAC
24-7Record9-21
118.4Points scored / game111.9
113.1Points allowed / game113.3
+4.5Adjusted margin / game-1.2
L1Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games4-6
11-5 roadHome / road record5-8 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.