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Clippers vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, January 10

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · FanDuel SN DET Ext, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
24% win LACwin DET 76%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin9.0
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (28-9) host the LA Clippers (14-23) on Saturday, January 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 98 – Pistons 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 76% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 15-3 at home and the Clippers are 5-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 8-2 for the Clippers (current streaks: Pistons W3, Clippers W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 118 – 109 Clippers, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -0.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.9 / LAC -0.2 per game
+5.1
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Pistons
+9.0

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
47%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Clippers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

LACDET
112.5
Points scored / game
117.8
112.7
Points allowed / game
112.1
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
39.0 %
3-point %
37.9 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
25.0
Assists / game
27.0
12.5
Steals / game
8.0
4.5
Blocks / game
7.2
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #226pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds
Pistons
Duncan RobinsonF · #5520pts / game
Ausar ThompsonG · #96assists
Tolu SmithF · #3514rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

LAC lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LACDET
14-23Record28-9
112.5Points scored / game117.8
112.7Points allowed / game112.1
-0.2Adjusted margin / game+4.9
W1Current streakW3
8-2Last 10 games7-3
5-14 roadHome / road record15-3 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.