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Bulls vs Hawks prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalState Farm Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
14-15 · away
Final score
126-123
Projected: 118-122
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
15-16 · home
37% win CHIwin ATL 63%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin4.1
Projected total239
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (15-15) host the Chicago Bulls (13-15) on Tuesday, December 23 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 126 – Hawks 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 5-8 at home and the Bulls are 6-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Hawks and 4-6 for the Bulls (current streaks: Hawks L3, Bulls W3).

The analysis Model

The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 122 – 118 Bulls, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.7 / CHI -2.5 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+4.1

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bulls win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIATL
119.0
Points scored / game
118.5
121.9
Points allowed / game
119.4
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.8 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
41.4
24.4
Assists / game
32.2
9.0
Steals / game
10.2
4.8
Blocks / game
3.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #324pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #315assists
Josh GiddeyG · #311rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #124pts / game
Trae YoungG · #315assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIATL
13-15Record15-15
119.0Points scored / game118.5
121.9Points allowed / game119.4
-2.5Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W3Current streakL3
4-6Last 10 games3-7
6-9 roadHome / road record5-8 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.