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Hawks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Monday, October 27

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
1-3 · away
Final score
123-128
Projected: 115-120
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
3-0 · home
35% win ATLwin CHI 65%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin4.8
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (2-0) host the Atlanta Hawks (1-2) on Monday, October 27 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 123 – Bulls 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 1-0 at home and the Hawks are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-0 for the Bulls and 1-2 for the Hawks (current streaks: Bulls W2, Hawks L1).

The analysis Model

The Bulls are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bulls 120 – 115 Hawks, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -0.2 / ATL -2.6 per game
+2.5
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+4.8

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Hawks win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLCHI
116.5
Points scored / game
117.0
119.6
Points allowed / game
117.2
46.9 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
34.8 %
3-point %
27.6 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
72.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
44.8
32.2
Assists / game
24.4
10.2
Steals / game
9.0
3.6
Blocks / game
4.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Hawks
Kristaps PorzingisC · #727pts / game
Trae YoungG · #317assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1710rebounds
Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1321pts / game
Nikola VucevicC · #99assists
Nikola VucevicC · #917rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ATLCHI
1-2Record2-0
116.5Points scored / game117.0
119.6Points allowed / game117.2
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-0.2
L1Current streakW2
1-2Last 10 games2-0
1-0 roadHome / road record1-0 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.