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Bulls vs Hawks prediction NBA · Sunday, December 21

FinalState Farm Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
13-15 · away
Final score
152-150
Projected: 117-121
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
15-15 · home
37% win CHIwin ATL 63%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin4.2
Projected total238
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (15-14) host the Chicago Bulls (12-15) on Sunday, December 21 at 3:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 152 – Hawks 150. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 5-7 at home and the Bulls are 5-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Hawks and 3-7 for the Bulls (current streaks: Hawks L2, Bulls W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 121 – 117 Bulls, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.7 / CHI -2.6 per game
+1.9
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+4.2

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Bulls win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIATL
118.1
Points scored / game
117.8
121.2
Points allowed / game
118.6
42.1 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.8 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
41.4
24.4
Assists / game
32.2
9.0
Steals / game
10.2
4.8
Blocks / game
3.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1428pts / game
Josh GiddeyG · #312assists
Josh GiddeyG · #39rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #136pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIATL
12-15Record15-14
118.1Points scored / game117.8
121.2Points allowed / game118.6
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-0.7
W2Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games4-6
5-9 roadHome / road record5-7 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.