Wizards vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (13-14) host the Washington Wizards (4-21) on Saturday, December 20 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 130 – Grizzlies 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 88% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 6-7 at home and the Wizards are 2-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Grizzlies and 3-7 for the Wizards (current streaks: Grizzlies W2, Wizards L1).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Grizzlies 124 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 14.8 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+0.8 vs -11.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHMEM
Top performers
Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1828pts / gameKyshawn GeorgeF · #187assists
Alex SarrC · #2011reboundsGrizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3437pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2411assistsSanti AldamaF · #3410reboundsRecent form
WSHMEM
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-21 | Record | 13-14 |
| 110.7 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 124.5 | Points allowed / game | 115.7 |
| -11.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.8 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 2-12 road | Home / road record | 6-7 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.