Grizzlies vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, December 28
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (6-23) host the Memphis Grizzlies (15-16) on Sunday, December 28 at 6:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 112 – Wizards 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 3-10 at home and the Grizzlies are 8-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Wizards and 6-4 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Wizards W1, Grizzlies W2).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 113 – 122 Grizzlies, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-10.5 vs +0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMWSH
Top performers
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2031pts / game
Ja MorantG · #17assists
Santi AldamaF · #3410reboundsWizards
Alex SarrC · #2020pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #77assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #912reboundsRecent form
MEMWSH
WSH
Team comparison
| MEM | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-16 | Record | 6-23 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 111.9 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 124.3 |
| +0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -10.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 8-8 road | Home / road record | 3-10 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.