Lakers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (10-15) host the Los Angeles Lakers (18-7) on Thursday, December 18 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 143 – Jazz 135. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 7-7 at home and the Lakers are 11-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Jazz and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Jazz W2, Lakers W1).
The analysis Model
The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 115 – 121 Lakers, a margin of about 5.6 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 237 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALUTAH
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7745pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7714assists
Luka DoncicG · #7711rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #334pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #813assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #213reboundsRecent form
LAL
UTAHHead-to-head
LAL lead 4-0 this season.
Team comparison
| LAL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-7 | Record | 10-15 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 124.5 |
| +1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 11-3 road | Home / road record | 7-7 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
UTAH