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Jazz vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 18

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
5-9 · away
Final score
126-140
Projected: 112-121
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
11-4 · home
22% win UTAHwin LAL 78%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin9.5
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (10-4) host the Utah Jazz (5-8) on Tuesday, November 18 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 126 – Lakers 140. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 3-2 at home and the Jazz are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Lakers and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Lakers W2, Jazz W1).

The analysis Model

The Lakers start with a clear edge. The model projects Lakers 121 – 112 Jazz, a margin of about 9.5 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.3 vs -5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.3 / UTAH -5.9 per game
+7.2
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
+9.5

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
49%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Jazz win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHLAL
115.5
Points scored / game
114.9
122.5
Points allowed / game
113.4
45.4 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
33.9 %
3-point %
39.2 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
26.8
Assists / game
24.0
5.0
Steals / game
10.8
6.4
Blocks / game
5.8
17.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #334pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #38assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3010rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7737pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2312assists
Deandre AytonC · #814rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHLAL
5-8Record10-4
115.5Points scored / game114.9
122.5Points allowed / game113.4
-5.9Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W1Current streakW2
3-7Last 10 games8-2
1-5 roadHome / road record3-2 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.