Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Lakers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23

FinalDelta Center · Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
12-4 · away
Final score
108-106
Projected: 121-114
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
5-11 · home
69% win LALwin UTAH 31%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin6.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (5-10) host the Los Angeles Lakers (11-4) on Sunday, November 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 108 – Jazz 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 4-4 at home and the Lakers are 7-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 8-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Jazz L2, Lakers W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Lakers, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 114 – 121 Lakers, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.9 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.9 / LAL +1.7 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-6.3

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Lakers win by 10+
39%

Stat comparison Current season

LALUTAH
115.9
Points scored / game
115.8
113.9
Points allowed / game
124.0
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
39.2 %
3-point %
33.9 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
79.1 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.0
Assists / game
26.8
10.8
Steals / game
5.0
5.8
Blocks / game
6.4
16.6
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7733pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778assists
Luka DoncicG · #7711rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #327pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #38assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALUTAH
11-4Record5-10
115.9Points scored / game115.8
113.9Points allowed / game124.0
+1.7Adjusted margin / game-6.9
W3Current streakL2
8-2Last 10 games3-7
7-2 roadHome / road record4-4 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.