Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Clippers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 23

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
5-12 · away
Final score
105-120
Projected: 109-119
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
12-6 · home
21% win LACwin CLE 79%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin10.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (11-6) host the LA Clippers (5-11) on Sunday, November 23 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 105 – Cavaliers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 7-3 at home and the Clippers are 2-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 2-8 for the Clippers (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Clippers W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 109 Clippers, a margin of about 10.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +5.5 / LAC -0.6 per game
+6.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+10.0

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
50%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Clippers win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

LACCLE
112.5
Points scored / game
120.7
113.3
Points allowed / game
114.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
39.0 %
3-point %
36.7 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.0
Assists / game
26.3
12.5
Steals / game
8.8
4.5
Blocks / game
7.5
23.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Clippers
Ivica ZubacC · #4033pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4018rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4537pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Evan MobleyC · #410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

LACCLE
5-11Record11-6
112.5Points scored / game120.7
113.3Points allowed / game114.3
-0.6Adjusted margin / game+5.5
W1Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
2-6 roadHome / road record7-3 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.